Southwest Monsoon 2026 Current Affairs for UPSC
A complete UPSC revision trail for Southwest Monsoon 2026: 2 published analyses, their syllabus connections and closely related themes.
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Southwest Monsoon 2026: Why a 42% Rain Deficit Worries the RBI on Growth, Inflation
The Reserve Bank of India's June 2026 Bulletin, in its "State of the Economy" article, has cautioned that an adverse south-west monsoon could weigh on India's growth and inflation outlook. The warning comes as nationwide cumulative rainfall has fallen to 42% below the Long Period Average as on 21 June, even as heavy rain triggers landslides in Meghalaya and floods in Assam. The same bulletin disclosed that the RBI net sold $8.94 billion in April to defend a record-low rupee. This article explains the southwest monsoon's mechanism, the El Niño link, how a weak monsoon transmits into food inflation and slower growth, the RBI's forex defence and monetary-policy response, and the buffers that cushion India this year.
IMD Cuts 2026 Monsoon to 90% of LPA: El Niño, IOD & "Below Normal" Rainfall Explained
The India Meteorological Department (IMD), in its second-stage long-range forecast on 29 May 2026, lowered its 2026 Southwest Monsoon estimate to 90% of the Long Period Average (LPA), pushing the season into the "below normal" category amid a developing El Niño. This article explains the monsoon mechanism, the meaning of LPA and IMD's rainfall categories, how El Niño (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) shape Indian rainfall, the impact on agriculture and inflation, and why ample reservoirs and foodgrain buffers offer a silver lining.
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